The board is loaded. 6 signals from 9 edges.
March 25, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-25T14:15:06.495040Z
Observation
The model reviewed 12 NBA games on March 25, 2026 and found 7 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 6 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
-1.0
CLV Held
11 / 5
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
11 of 5
-6 of 5
Top Edge · Settled
Utah Jazz -4.5
4.5%+
Washington Wizards vs Utah Jazz
Model: -7.3
·
Close: -3.5
·
CLV: -1.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
WAS @ UTA
+8.0%
-1.0u
BKN @ GSW
+8.0%
Pending
DAL @ DEN
+8.0%
Pending
CHI @ PHI
+7.3%
Final CHI 137-157 PHI
SAS @ MEM
-7.0%
Pending
TOR @ LAC
-6.1%
Pending
HOU @ MIN
+5.2%
Pending
OKC @ BOS
-2.9%
Final OKC 109-119 BOS
LAL @ IND
-2.7%
Final LAL 137-130 IND
ATL @ DET
-1.9%
Final ATL 130-129 DET
MIA @ CLE
-0.3%
Final MIA 120-103 CLE
MIL @ POR
+0.7%
Pending
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on -6 of 5 settled games.
ATL @ DET
Open: -2.5
·
Close: +1.5
BKN @ GSW
Open: -11.5
·
Close: -4.5
CHI @ PHI
Open: -6.5
·
Close: -21.5
DAL @ DEN
Open: -13.5
·
Close: -6.5
HOU @ MIN
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -5.5
LAL @ IND
Open: +10.5
·
Close: +7.5
Near Misses
San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A miss on both axes. The ledger takes it as it is.
Sharp Principle
Receipts over narratives.
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