Balanced board with 2 signals and no clear bias.
March 29, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-29T16:24:10.715278Z
Observation
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 5 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
-0.5
CLV Held
8 / 8
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
8 of 8
0 of 8
Top Edge · Settled
Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5
4.5%+
New York Knicks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · NYK 100, OKC 111
Model: -13.0
·
Close: -8.0
·
CLV: -0.5
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
NYK @ OKC
+12.8%
+0.9u
WAS @ POR
+8.6%
Final WAS 88-123 POR
MIA @ IND
+6.4%
Final MIA 118-135 IND
GSW @ DEN
-6.1%
Pending
ORL @ TOR
-3.9%
Final ORL 87-139 TOR
BOS @ CHA
-2.8%
Final BOS 99-116 CHA
HOU @ NOP
+0.9%
Final HOU 134-102 NOP
SAC @ BKN
+0.3%
Final SAC 99-116 BKN
LAC @ MIL
-0.5%
Final LAC 127-113 MIL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 0 of 8 settled games.
NYK @ OKC
Open: -8.5
·
Close: -12.5
BOS @ CHA
Open: +1.0
·
Close: +14.5
GSW @ DEN
Open: -11.5
·
Close: -5.5
HOU @ NOP
Open: +6.0
·
Close: +29.5
LAC @ MIL
Open: +14.0
·
Close: +15.5
MIA @ IND
Open: +9.5
·
Close: -14.5
Near Misses
Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors
3.5 to 4.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Sharp Principle
A loss that beat the close was a good trade.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›