Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.

Why no red L badges on losses?

Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.

A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.

MLB Slate Recap March 31, 2026

Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

More than half the edges cleared the filter.

March 31, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-31T17:08:28.696186Z

Evan Cole · Head of Signal Intelligence

Observation

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 10 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

Slate Result

-1.0u

Net · 0-1-0

+0.0

CLV Held

10 / 1

Markets Efficient

Bias

Market efficient Model edge

10 of 1 -9 of 1

Top Edge · Settled

Colorado Rockies +1.5 4.5%+

Colorado Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays · COL 1, TOR 5

Model: -1.4 · Close: -1.5 · CLV: +0.0

Loss · -1.0u

Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.

Edge Map

COL @ TOR -15.0%

-1.0u

NYY @ SEA -15.0%

Pending

WAS @ PHI -15.0%

Pending

CLE @ LAD -15.0%

Pending

DET @ ARI -12.6%

Pending

PIT @ CIN -11.3%

Pending

TEX @ BAL -11.1%

Pending

SF @ SD -11.0%

Pending

BOS @ HOU -5.0%

Pending

OAK @ ATL -4.9%

Pending

LAA @ CHC -4.2%

Pending

CHW @ MIA -3.0%

Pending

TB @ MIL -2.6%

Pending

NYM @ STL 0%

Pending

Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on -9 of 1 settled games.

CLE @ LAD

Open: -1.5 · Close: -2.0

Model edge

WAS @ PHI

Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5

Model edge

BOS @ HOU

Open: -1.5 · Close: -6.5

Market efficient

CHW @ MIA

Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5

Market efficient

DET @ ARI

Open: +1.5 · Close: +2.5

Market efficient

LAA @ CHC

Open: -1.5 · Close: +1.5

Market efficient

Near Misses

Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.5%+

Edge below threshold.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds 4.5%+

Edge below threshold.

Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles 4.5%+

Edge below threshold.

Implication

The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.

Sharp Principle

Variance is rent. CLV is equity.

How the morning called it

Read the morning edition ›

›

MLB Slate Recap | March 31, 2026

More than half the edges cleared the filter.

Only the signal layer is hidden.