MLB Market Report | April 2, 2026
The model reviewed 3 MLB games on April 2, 2026 and found 2 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
MEI
49
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
NYM @ SF
Density
67.0%
2 of 3
Passed
1
of 3
Signal
Signal Published
New York Mets -1.5
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
NYM @ SF
-1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
ATL @ ARI
-1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
MIN @ KC
1.5
Below 2%
PASS
Line Movement
New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants
No movement
Recent performance ยท MLB
Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.
Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
GameNYM @ SF›
GameATL @ ARI›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
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