The board is loaded. 9 signals from 10 edges.
April 19, 2026 · Updated 2026-04-19T15:01:04.233724Z
Observation
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 9 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
14 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
14 of 15
1 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
4.5%+
Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates · TB 3, PIT 6
Model: -2.2
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
TB @ PIT
-6.0%
-1.0u
SF @ WAS
-6.0%
Final SF 0-3 WAS
BAL @ CLE
-6.0%
Final BAL 4-8 CLE
MIL @ MIA
-6.0%
Final MIL 3-5 MIA
CIN @ MIN
-6.0%
Final CIN 7-4 MIN
NYM @ CHC
-6.0%
Final NYM 1-2 CHC
SD @ LAA
-6.0%
Final SD 2-1 LAA
TOR @ ARI
-6.0%
Final TOR 10-4 ARI
ATL @ PHI
-6.0%
Final ATL 4-2 PHI
LAD @ COL
-1.5%
Final LAD 6-9 COL
KC @ NYY
-0.2%
Final KC 0-7 NYY
CHW @ OAK
-1.2%
Final CHW 7-4 OAK
TEX @ SEA
-1.4%
Final TEX 2-5 SEA
DET @ BOS
-1.5%
Final DET 6-2 BOS
STL @ HOU
-3.1%
Final STL 7-5 HOU
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 1 of 15 settled games.
ATL @ PHI
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BAL @ CLE
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHW @ OAK
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CIN @ MIN
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
DET @ BOS
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
KC @ NYY
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A miss on both axes. The ledger takes it as it is.
Sharp Principle
Graded on the close, not the final score.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›