Balanced board with 3 signals and no clear bias.
May 14, 2026 · Updated 2026-05-14T17:00:28.256330Z
Observation
Most slates look efficient on the surface. On May 14, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 9 MLB games and found only 3 signals worth sending, with 6 games falling short of the threshold.
Slate Result
+1.6u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
8 / 11
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
8 of 11
3 of 11
Top Edge · Settled
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
4.5%+
St. Louis Cardinals vs Oakland Athletics · STL 5, OAK 4
Model: 0.8
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.6u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
SEA @ HOU
-12.0%
Final SEA 8-3 HOU
STL @ OAK
-12.0%
+1.6u
PHI @ BOS
-12.0%
Final PHI 3-1 BOS
CHC @ ATL
-9.6%
Final CHC 2-0 ATL
KC @ CHW
-8.9%
Final KC 2-6 CHW
MIA @ MIN
-6.2%
Final MIA 1-9 MIN
SF @ LAD
-3.9%
Final SF 2-2 LAD
DET @ NYM
-0.4%
Final DET 4-9 NYM
SD @ MIL
-5.1%
Final SD 1-7 MIL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 3 of 11 settled games.
STL @ OAK
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHC @ ATL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
DET @ NYM
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
KC @ CHW
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
MIA @ MIN
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
PHI @ BOS
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Sharp Principle
A loss that beat the close was a good trade.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›