Market Reports / May 13, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 13, 2026

13 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 78

The model reviewed 13 MLB games on May 13, 2026 and found 10 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
78
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
DET @ NYM
Density
15.0%
2 of 13
Passed
11
of 13
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
San Francisco Giants +1.5
SF @ LAD
Market
1.5
Model
0.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
KC @ CHW -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ TEX -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SF @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIA @ MIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHC @ ATL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ BOS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TB @ TOR 1.5 Below 2% PASS
STL @ OAK 1.5 Below 2% PASS
WAS @ CIN 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
SEA @ HOU 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DET @ NYM 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians No movement
Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds -2.0 pp away
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates -0.6 pp away
Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox -0.4 pp away
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays +3.0 pp toward model
Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets +1.8 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
2-5
CLV beat
1 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes11 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameDET @ NYM› GameKC @ CHW› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone›

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