Underdogs carrying the value. 11 of 12 edges on dogs.
June 20, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-20T16:14:30.212156Z
Observation
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 86, signaling a rare inefficiency environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
11 / 14
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
11 of 14
3 of 14
Top Edge · Settled
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
4.5%+
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees · CIN 10, NYY 2
Model: -0.4
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
CIN @ NYY
-12.0%
+0.9u
MIN @ ARI
-12.0%
Final MIN 14-0 ARI
BAL @ LAD
-12.0%
Final BAL 3-0 LAD
BOS @ SEA
-12.0%
Final BOS 5-1 SEA
CHW @ DET
+12.0%
Final CHW 1-4 DET
WAS @ TB
+12.0%
Final WAS 4-3 TB
NYM @ PHI
-9.7%
Final NYM 3-15 PHI
SF @ MIA
-2.9%
Final SF 3-6 MIA
SD @ TEX
-1.8%
Final SD 6-4 TEX
LAA @ OAK
-1.0%
Final LAA 2-0 OAK
CLE @ HOU
-4.3%
Final CLE 8-1 HOU
PIT @ COL
-5.4%
Final PIT 1-2 COL
MIL @ ATL
-7.1%
Final MIL 3-4 ATL
TOR @ CHC
-8.3%
Final TOR 8-6 CHC
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 3 of 14 settled games.
CIN @ NYY
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
WAS @ TB
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BAL @ LAD
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
BOS @ SEA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHW @ DET
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CLE @ HOU
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.
Sharp Principle
Wins that missed the close get audited too.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›