Dogs leading the edge board: 10 underdog vs 4 favorite.
June 27, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-27T16:14:37.683017Z
Observation
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 10 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
Slate Result
+1.5u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
12 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
12 of 15
3 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Cincinnati Reds -1.5
4.5%+
Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates · CIN 9, PIT 7
Model: -2.0
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.5u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
CIN @ PIT
-12.0%
+1.5u
NYY @ BOS
-9.7%
Final NYY 1-4 BOS
TEX @ TOR
-8.3%
Final TEX 7-4 TOR
SEA @ CLE
-5.6%
Final SEA 3-4 CLE
ARI @ TB
-4.9%
Final ARI 2-4 TB
LAD @ SD
-4.1%
Final LAD 15-3 SD
COL @ MIN
-1.4%
Final COL 8-5 MIN
CHC @ MIL
-2.5%
Final CHC 8-2 MIL
PHI @ NYM
-3.5%
Final PHI 2-6 NYM
ATL @ SF
-4.1%
Final ATL 0-5 SF
MIA @ STL
-4.8%
Final MIA 5-1 STL
HOU @ DET
-8.9%
Final HOU 8-6 DET
KC @ CHW
-9.8%
Final KC 1-2 CHW
WAS @ BAL
+13.6%
Final WAS 4-3 BAL
OAK @ LAA
+14.2%
Final OAK 2-3 LAA
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 3 of 15 settled games.
CIN @ PIT
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
OAK @ LAA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
WAS @ BAL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ARI @ TB
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
ATL @ SF
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHC @ MIL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Sharp Principle
One night proves nothing. The ledger proves everything.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›