3 signals from tonight's 14 game slate.
July 22, 2026 · Updated 2026-07-22T16:15:08.704060Z
Observation
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 80, signaling a high opportunity environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
10 / 14
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
10 of 14
4 of 14
Top Edge · Settled
New York Mets +1.5
4.5%+
New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers · NYM 3, MIL 4
Model: -0.1
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
NYM @ MIL
-12.0%
+0.9u
DET @ CHC
+12.0%
Final DET 5-1 CHC
TB @ TOR
-12.0%
Final TB 4-2 TOR
SD @ ATL
-12.0%
Final SD 6-7 ATL
PIT @ NYY
-8.8%
Final PIT 0-2 NYY
MIA @ HOU
-8.1%
Final MIA 2-5 HOU
LAD @ PHI
-7.0%
Final LAD 9-5 PHI
WAS @ COL
-3.5%
Final WAS 8-0 COL
CIN @ SEA
-1.5%
Final CIN 5-3 SEA
BAL @ BOS
-0.7%
Final BAL 5-1 BOS
STL @ LAA
-3.1%
Final STL 1-0 LAA
SF @ KC
+6.6%
Final SF 4-5 KC
CHW @ TEX
+9.9%
Final CHW 4-2 TEX
MIN @ CLE
-11.9%
Final MIN 10-6 CLE
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 4 of 14 settled games.
CHW @ TEX
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
DET @ CHC
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
NYM @ MIL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -2.5
SF @ KC
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BAL @ BOS
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CIN @ SEA
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.
Sharp Principle
Nothing removed. Ever.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›