Market Reports / July 24, 2026

MLB Market Report | July 24, 2026

14 games analyzed 4 signals MEI: 81

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On July 24, 2026, that process resulted in 4 published signals and 10 passes.

MEI
81
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
KC @ DET
Density
29.0%
4 of 14
Passed
10
of 14
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Kansas City Royals +1.5
KC @ DET
Market
1.5
Model
-0.5
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
KC @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TOR @ BOS 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SEA @ TEX -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
COL @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAD @ NYM -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAA @ SF 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CIN @ STL 1.5 Below 2% PASS
ARI @ WAS 1.5 Below 2% PASS
HOU @ CHW 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CLE @ TB 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ATL @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ MIA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHC @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers +19.1 pp toward model
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates -2.4 pp away
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers +2.5 pp toward model
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals -1.6 pp away
New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies -0.7 pp away
Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles +2.1 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
5-2
CLV beat
4 of 7

This slate had 14 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 4. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes10 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameKC @ DET› GameTOR @ BOS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›

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