Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

Double-digit spreads showing the most opportunity.

Observation

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 5 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

Slate Result
+0.0u
Net · 0-0-1
+0.0
CLV Held
8 / 5
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
8 of 5 -3 of 5
Top Edge · Settled
Dallas Mavericks +7.0 4.5%+
Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks
Model: 3.6 · Close: 7.0 · CLV: +0.0
Push · 0.0u
Result graded as a push. Capital preserved on a market the system read as efficient.
Edge Map
OKC @ WAS +8.0%
Final OKC 132-111 WAS
LAC @ DAL +8.0%
Push 0.0u
MIL @ PHX +8.0%
Pending
IND @ SAS +6.0%
Pending
PHI @ UTA +4.5%
Pending
MEM @ CHA +0.7%
Final MEM 101-124 CHA
GSW @ ATL +0.3%
Pending
LAL @ ORL -0.7%
Final LAL 105-104 ORL
MIA @ HOU +0.9%
Final MIA 95-117 HOU
CLE @ NOP +1.1%
Final CLE 111-106 NOP
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on -3 of 5 settled games.

CLE @ NOP
Open: +4.5 · Close: +4.5
Model edge
MIA @ HOU
Open: -2.0 · Close: -2.5
Model edge
GSW @ ATL
Open: -10.0 · Close: -22.5
Market efficient
IND @ SAS
Open: -18.5 · Close: -17.5
Market efficient
LAC @ DAL
Open: +7.0 · Close: +10.5
Market efficient
LAL @ ORL
Open: +2.5 · Close: -1.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Dead on the line. Capital returned, nothing learned beyond the close.
Sharp Principle

Nothing removed. Ever.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
2 of 7

This slate had 10 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 3. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
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Related
Passes7 games the model passed on EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings GameOKC @ WAS GameLAC @ DAL WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary LearnEdge Calculator MorningHow the morning called it: NBA market report

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