Underdogs carrying the value. 11 of 12 edges on dogs.
March 30, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-30T19:14:18.690715Z
Observation
The model reviewed 15 MLB games on March 30, 2026 and found 11 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 7 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
+1.6u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
6 / 1
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
6 of 1
-5 of 1
Top Edge · Settled
Texas Rangers +1.5
4.5%+
Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles · TEX 5, BAL 2
Model: 0.2
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.6u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
TEX @ BAL
-15.0%
+1.6u
COL @ TOR
-15.0%
Pending
LAA @ CHC
-15.0%
Pending
CLE @ LAD
-15.0%
Pending
WAS @ PHI
-14.7%
Pending
NYY @ SEA
-14.4%
Pending
MIN @ KC
-6.7%
Pending
TB @ MIL
-3.7%
Pending
CHW @ MIA
-0.8%
Pending
PIT @ CIN
-1.3%
Pending
OAK @ ATL
-1.8%
Pending
NYM @ STL
+4.7%
Pending
BOS @ HOU
+11.9%
Pending
DET @ ARI
+13.3%
Pending
SF @ SD
+14.5%
Pending
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on -5 of 1 settled games.
BOS @ HOU
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CLE @ LAD
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
COL @ TOR
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
DET @ ARI
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
LAA @ CHC
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
NYM @ STL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Sharp Principle
Wins that missed the close get audited too.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›