Balanced board with 6 signals and no clear bias.
April 3, 2026 · Updated 2026-04-03T15:00:26.948582Z
Observation
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On April 3, 2026, that process resulted in 6 published signals and 9 passes.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
8 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
8 of 15
7 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
4.5%+
St. Louis Cardinals vs Detroit Tigers · STL 0, DET 4
Model: -0.7
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
STL @ DET
-6.0%
-1.0u
MIA @ NYY
-6.0%
Final MIA 2-8 NYY
SD @ BOS
-6.0%
Final SD 2-5 BOS
CIN @ TEX
-6.0%
Final CIN 5-3 TEX
PHI @ COL
+6.0%
Final PHI 10-1 COL
TB @ MIN
-6.0%
Final TB 4-10 MIN
BAL @ PIT
-6.0%
Final BAL 4-5 PIT
MIL @ KC
-6.0%
Final MIL 0-0 KC
HOU @ OAK
-6.0%
Final HOU 1-11 OAK
ATL @ ARI
-6.0%
Final ATL 2-0 ARI
NYM @ SF
-6.0%
Final NYM 5-2 SF
LAD @ WAS
+6.0%
Final LAD 13-6 WAS
CHC @ CLE
-6.0%
Final CHC 1-4 CLE
TOR @ CHW
+2.7%
Final TOR 4-5 CHW
SEA @ LAA
+2.2%
Final SEA 0-0 LAA
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 7 of 15 settled games.
PHI @ COL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
SEA @ LAA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
TOR @ CHW
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ATL @ ARI
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BAL @ PIT
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CIN @ TEX
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Signal missed. Tracked, not removed.
Sharp Principle
Nothing removed. Ever.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›