Balanced board with 6 signals and no clear bias.
April 26, 2026 · Updated 2026-04-26T15:01:19.078813Z
Observation
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On April 26, 2026, that process resulted in 6 published signals and 9 passes.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
13 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
13 of 15
2 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
4.5%+
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves · PHI 2, ATL 6
Model: 0.0
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
PHI @ ATL
-6.0%
-1.0u
DET @ CIN
-6.0%
Final DET 8-3 CIN
WAS @ CHW
-6.0%
Final WAS 2-1 CHW
NYY @ HOU
-6.0%
Final NYY 4-7 HOU
PIT @ MIL
-6.0%
Final PIT 0-5 MIL
SEA @ STL
-6.0%
Final SEA 3-2 STL
OAK @ TEX
-6.0%
Final OAK 2-1 TEX
CHC @ LAD
-6.0%
Final CHC 0-6 LAD
LAA @ KC
-6.0%
Final LAA 9-11 KC
COL @ NYM
-6.0%
Final COL 3-0 NYM
SD @ ARI
-5.2%
Final SD 7-12 ARI
BOS @ BAL
-1.4%
Final BOS 5-3 BAL
MIN @ TB
-1.6%
Final MIN 2-4 TB
MIA @ SF
-3.5%
Final MIA 3-6 SF
CLE @ TOR
-4.1%
Final CLE 2-4 TOR
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 2 of 15 settled games.
PIT @ MIL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
BOS @ BAL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHC @ LAD
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CLE @ TOR
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
COL @ NYM
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
DET @ CIN
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
New York Yankees vs Houston Astros
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.
Sharp Principle
One night proves nothing. The ledger proves everything.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›