Market Reports / April 24, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 24, 2026

14 games analyzed 6 signals MEI: 69

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 11 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
69
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
DET @ CIN
Density
43.0%
6 of 14
Passed
8
of 14
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Cleveland Guardians -1.5
CLE @ TOR
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
DET @ CIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ BAL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CLE @ TOR -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
WAS @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAA @ KC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PIT @ MIL -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYY @ HOU -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
COL @ NYM 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIN @ TB -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIA @ SF -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ LAD 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
OAK @ TEX 1.5 Below 2% PASS
PHI @ ATL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
Line Movement
Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds -2.8 pp away
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles No movement
Cleveland Guardians @ Toronto Blue Jays +1.0 pp toward model
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves -2.3 pp away
Washington Nationals @ Chicago White Sox +1.5 pp toward model
Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals +2.2 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
5 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 8 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Apr 20 Apr 21 Apr 22 Apr 23 Apr 24 Apr 25 Apr 26
Related
Passes8 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameDET @ CIN› GameBOS @ BAL› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot