Market Reports / April 23, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 23, 2026

9 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 59

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On April 23, 2026, that process resulted in 3 published signals and 6 passes.

MEI
59
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
ATL @ WAS
Density
33.0%
3 of 9
Passed
6
of 9
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
MIL @ DET
Market
1.5
Model
0.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
ATL @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIL @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ CHC -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAD @ SF -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ BOS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ NYM -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SD @ COL -1.5 Below 2% PASS
PIT @ TEX 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CHW @ ARI 1.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals -6.1 pp away
Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers -12.6 pp away
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs -2.0 pp away
Chicago White Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks -2.1 pp away
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants +2.3 pp toward model
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox -1.5 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
2-5
CLV beat
6 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 6 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes6 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameATL @ WAS› GameMIL @ DET› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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