Market Reports / April 26, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 26, 2026

15 games analyzed 6 signals MEI: 69

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On April 26, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 15 MLB games and found only 6 signals worth sending, with 9 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
69
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
PHI @ ATL
Density
40.0%
6 of 15
Passed
9
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
PHI @ ATL
Market
1.5
Model
0.0
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
PHI @ ATL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DET @ CIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
WAS @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYY @ HOU -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PIT @ MIL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
OAK @ TEX 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAA @ KC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ NYM 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SD @ ARI -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ BAL 1.5 Below 2% PASS
MIN @ TB 1.5 Below 2% PASS
MIA @ SF 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
CLE @ TOR 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
Line Movement
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles -2.4 pp away
Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds +12.9 pp toward model
Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Rays -4.0 pp away
Cleveland Guardians @ Toronto Blue Jays -18.7 pp away
Washington Nationals @ Chicago White Sox -3.2 pp away
New York Yankees @ Houston Astros -7.8 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
6 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 9 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes9 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GamePHI @ ATL› GameDET @ CIN› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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