Edge scan complete: 4 picks clear the filter.
May 15, 2026 · Updated 2026-05-15T16:23:22.200218Z
Observation
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 83, signaling a high opportunity environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
Slate Result
+1.6u
Net · 1-0-0
+3.0
CLV Held
10 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
10 of 15
5 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
4.5%+
Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays · MIA 2, TB 7
Model: 0.8
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +3.0
Win · +1.6u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
TOR @ DET
-12.0%
Final TOR 2-3 DET
MIA @ TB
+12.0%
+1.6u
TEX @ HOU
-12.0%
Final TEX 0-2 HOU
ARI @ COL
-12.0%
Final ARI 9-1 COL
LAD @ LAA
+11.4%
Final LAD 6-0 LAA
BAL @ WAS
-10.9%
Final BAL 2-3 WAS
NYY @ NYM
-6.7%
Final NYY 5-2 NYM
PHI @ PIT
-1.8%
Final PHI 11-9 PIT
BOS @ ATL
-2.4%
Final BOS 2-3 ATL
CHC @ CHW
+2.7%
Final CHC 10-5 CHW
SD @ SEA
-4.3%
Final SD 2-0 SEA
MIL @ MIN
+9.3%
Final MIL 3-2 MIN
SF @ OAK
-9.5%
Final SF 2-5 OAK
CIN @ CLE
-11.8%
Final CIN 7-6 CLE
KC @ STL
+12.2%
Final KC 4-5 STL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 5 of 15 settled games.
CHC @ CHW
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
KC @ STL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
MIA @ TB
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ARI @ COL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BAL @ WAS
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BOS @ ATL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Sharp Principle
Receipts over narratives.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›