The entire slate narrows to one pick: Los Angeles Angels.
May 21, 2026 · Updated 2026-05-21T16:13:23.722984Z
Observation
The model reviewed 7 MLB games on May 21, 2026 and found 7 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 1 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
+1.8u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
2 / 7
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
2 of 7
5 of 7
Top Edge · Settled
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
4.5%+
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers · CLE 3, DET 1
Model: 0.2
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.8u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
CLE @ DET
-12.0%
+1.8u
PIT @ STL
-9.7%
Final PIT 6-2 STL
COL @ ARI
+6.6%
Final COL 1-1 ARI
TOR @ NYY
-6.0%
Final TOR 2-0 NYY
ATL @ MIA
+8.2%
Final ATL 9-3 MIA
NYM @ WAS
+12.1%
Final NYM 2-1 WAS
OAK @ LAA
+13.4%
Final OAK 2-2 LAA
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 5 of 7 settled games.
ATL @ MIA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CLE @ DET
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
NYM @ WAS
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
OAK @ LAA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
COL @ ARI
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
PIT @ STL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.
Sharp Principle
Receipts over narratives.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›