Value sitting with the underdogs tonight. 2 signals, mostly dogs.
June 21, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-21T16:14:47.767050Z
Observation
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 75, signaling a high opportunity environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
12 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
12 of 15
3 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
4.5%+
Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers · BAL 12, LAD 1
Model: 0.2
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
CIN @ NYY
-12.0%
Final CIN 4-1 NYY
BAL @ LAD
-10.9%
+0.9u
SF @ MIA
-7.3%
Final SF 1-2 MIA
NYM @ PHI
-5.9%
Final NYM 2-6 PHI
PIT @ COL
-3.9%
Final PIT 8-6 COL
SD @ TEX
-2.4%
Final SD 3-4 TEX
MIN @ ARI
-2.3%
Final MIN 4-2 ARI
BOS @ SEA
-0.1%
Final BOS 1-3 SEA
CLE @ HOU
-2.1%
Final CLE 1-2 HOU
CHW @ DET
+5.8%
Final CHW 4-5 DET
STL @ KC
+6.2%
Final STL 12-10 KC
LAA @ OAK
-10.4%
Final LAA 9-7 OAK
WAS @ TB
-11.9%
Final WAS 3-4 TB
TOR @ CHC
+13.7%
Final TOR 0-0 CHC
MIL @ ATL
+14.3%
Final MIL 9-4 ATL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 3 of 15 settled games.
BAL @ LAD
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
MIL @ ATL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
TOR @ CHC
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BOS @ SEA
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHW @ DET
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CIN @ NYY
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entries held and the close agreed. Both matter.
Sharp Principle
A loss that beat the close was a good trade.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›