Market Reports / July 7, 2026

MLB Market Report | July 7, 2026

15 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 84

The model reviewed 15 MLB games on July 7, 2026 and found 12 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
84
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
CLE @ MIN
Density
20.0%
3 of 15
Passed
12
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Colorado Rockies +1.5
COL @ LAD
Market
1.5
Model
0.2
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
HOU @ WAS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SEA @ MIA -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ TB -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ SD 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TOR @ SF -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
OAK @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ CIN 1.5 Below 2% PASS
KC @ NYM 1.5 Below 2% PASS
LAA @ TEX 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
MIL @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHC @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ATL @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CLE @ MIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles -0.2 pp away
Athletics @ Detroit Tigers -3.7 pp away
Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals -0.6 pp away
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox -1.0 pp away
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins -2.6 pp away
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers +0.4 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
3 of 7

This slate had 15 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 3. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes12 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameCLE @ MIN› GameHOU @ WAS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›

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