Market Reports / July 10, 2026

MLB Market Report | July 10, 2026

15 games analyzed 5 signals MEI: 82

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 10 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
82
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
PHI @ DET
Density
33.0%
5 of 15
Passed
10
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
MIL @ PIT
Market
1.5
Model
0.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
PHI @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIL @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CLE @ MIA -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ TB -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TOR @ SD -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ CIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ TEX -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
OAK @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYY @ WAS 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
ATL @ STL -1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
LAA @ MIN 1.5 Below 2% PASS
KC @ BAL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
COL @ SF 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
BOS @ NYM 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
Line Movement
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers -0.8 pp away
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates No movement
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals +0.2 pp toward model
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles +0.2 pp toward model
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds +0.7 pp toward model
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins +0.6 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
2-5
CLV beat
5 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 5. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes10 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GamePHI @ DET› GameMIL @ PIT› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator›

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